硅谷观察：特斯拉上市十五周年，马斯克已经不再做电车梦

Core Insights - Tesla has reached a significant milestone, celebrating its 15th anniversary since its IPO, transitioning from a near-bankrupt startup to a trillion-dollar company [2][3][4] - Elon Musk has shifted Tesla's focus from electric vehicles to autonomous driving and robotics, indicating a change in the company's future vision [9][18] Group 1: Historical Context - Tesla went public on June 29, 2009, raising $226 million, with a first-day stock price increase of 40%, resulting in a market cap of $2.2 billion [3][4] - At the time of its IPO, Tesla had only sold around 1,000 Roadster cars, generating $150 million in revenue, and was on the brink of bankruptcy [4][7] - The company received crucial funding from various sources, including a $465 million low-interest loan from the U.S. government, which was pivotal for its survival and subsequent growth [7][8] Group 2: Financial Performance - Over the past decade, Tesla has launched multiple successful models, achieving over $100 billion in revenue last year and becoming the largest electric vehicle manufacturer globally [8][9] - An investment of $10,000 in Tesla stock at its IPO would now be worth over $3 million, showcasing a 300-fold increase compared to a mere $57,000 if invested in the S&P 500 [8] Group 3: Current Challenges - Tesla's sales have stagnated, with a reported decline in sales volume, dropping 13% in Q1 and showing no signs of recovery in Q2 [19][21] - The company has faced significant scrutiny regarding its autonomous driving technology, with recent trials revealing numerous technical issues and safety concerns [13][15][16] - Musk's unpredictable behavior and controversial political affiliations have negatively impacted Tesla's brand value, which has decreased by 26% in 2024 [23][24] Group 4: Future Outlook - Tesla's future growth is now heavily reliant on the success of its Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology and the development of humanoid robots, with ambitious plans to deploy thousands of autonomous vehicles [12][18] - The company is under pressure to resolve existing technical flaws in its FSD system, as any major incidents could severely damage its reputation and market position [17][19] - Musk's recent actions and statements regarding political affiliations and government policies may pose additional risks to Tesla's business strategy and public perception [26][27]