（年中经济观察）经济显韧性 外资机构看好中国资产

Economic Resilience and Outlook - Foreign institutions are optimistic about China's economic resilience, with "resilience" being a key term in their evaluations [1] - HSBC forecasts global economic growth may slow to 2.5% by 2025, while China's macro policies will support domestic demand growth [1] - Deutsche Bank highlights the resilience in China's service sector and retail performance, with retail sales of home appliances and communication equipment showing significant year-on-year growth of 25.6% to 53% in May [1] Policy Stimulus and Economic Support - Chinese policymakers have increased stimulus measures, expanding the 2025 fiscal budget and easing monetary policy to improve economic growth [2] - The acceleration of fiscal spending and a series of financial policies from the central bank are expected to boost domestic demand in the coming months [2] - There is ample room for fiscal policy to support the economy through special government bonds and local government bonds [2] Market Interest and Investment Opportunities - Chinese assets are gaining market attention, with a positive macro environment in major developed and emerging markets [3] - The Chinese stock market is expected to benefit from increased government support, with current valuations considered reasonable [3] - Foreign institutions are optimistic about the appreciation of the Chinese yuan against the US dollar, predicting it will reach 7.0 by the end of 2025 and further strengthen to 6.7 by the end of 2026 [3]