共和党深夜鏖战：特朗普“大而美”法案陷入三票“生死线”困局

Group 1 - The "Big and Beautiful" tax reform bill aims to achieve several core policy goals of President Trump, including extending current tax cuts, increasing defense and border security budgets, while cutting Medicaid and food assistance spending, and eliminating tax provisions on tips and overtime income [3][4] - The Senate requires a simple majority of 51 votes to pass the bill, but with only 53 seats held by Republicans, they can afford to lose only 3 votes, facing opposition from eight key members within the party [1][5] - The House Freedom Caucus, composed of conservative Republicans, has expressed strong opposition to the bill, threatening to obstruct its passage unless significant modifications are made to align with the budget framework agreed upon in the House [6] Group 2 - The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimates that the Senate version of the proposal will increase the U.S. national debt by $3.3 trillion over the next ten years [6] - Despite opposition from various Republican members, analysts believe that the bill will ultimately pass due to the political pressure from Trump, as many Republican lawmakers are reluctant to challenge his authority [6] - The bill's timeline indicates that if the Senate passes it by July 1, the House could vote on the modified version as early as July 2, with the goal of sending it to Trump for signing by July 4 [5]