本周美债市场波动显著 现货金价连续二连涨

Group 1 - Spot gold prices have risen for the second consecutive day, reaching $3338.48 per ounce with a 1.08% increase, driven by investor optimism regarding potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve later this year [1] - The U.S. Treasury market has experienced significant volatility, with the 10-year Treasury yield dropping by 4.9 basis points to 4.234% and the 30-year yield decreasing by 5.5 basis points to 4.792%, reflecting market expectations for upcoming economic data and Fed easing policies [2] - The Federal Funds futures market indicates a 94% probability of a rate cut in September and a 21% chance in July, suggesting strong market sentiment towards monetary easing [2] Group 2 - The bond market's reaction to Trump's tax and spending bill has been relatively muted, but Senate deliberations on the bill may lead to further volatility, potentially increasing national debt and long-term yields, which could exert pressure on gold prices [2] - Short-term market conditions remain favorable for gold prices due to strong expectations for rate cuts and a weakening dollar [2] - Technical analysis indicates that gold prices are approaching upper resistance levels, with a significant trading range identified between 3555 and 3266, suggesting a potential strategy to wait for resistance points to short [3]