Group 1 - The international gold price is currently at $3340.27 per ounce, with a daily increase of 1.14%, reflecting a rise of $37 [1] - Market participants are awaiting new clues from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell regarding potential interest rate cuts [1] - The European Central Bank's central bank forum is taking place from June 30 to July 2, attracting attention from investors regarding speeches from major central bank leaders [1] Group 2 - The market currently estimates a 20% probability of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve this month, and a 77% probability for September [1] - If Powell indicates a weaker-than-expected inflation outlook, it could increase bets on Fed easing and lead to a further decline in the dollar, potentially boosting gold prices [1] - Conversely, any hawkish or cautious remarks from Powell could exacerbate the recent downward trend in gold prices [1] Group 3 - Attention is also focused on U.S. trade negotiations as the July 9 deadline approaches [2] - The JOLTS job openings report, which is closely monitored by the Federal Reserve, is set to be released, with economists expecting 7.3 million job openings for May, down from 7.391 million in April [2] - If gold closes above the 50-day moving average of $3320 per ounce, it may gain momentum towards the 21-day moving average of $3350 per ounce, with the next Fibonacci level at $3377 per ounce [3]
国际黄金上涨趋势不改 本月降息可能性仅为20%
Jin Tou Wang·2025-07-01 09:50