美欧关税谈判“大限将至”，欧盟列出哪四种可能？哪些领域绝不妥协?

Core Points - The article discusses the potential outcomes of the upcoming US-EU trade negotiations, highlighting four possible scenarios that could unfold before the July 9 deadline [1][3][4] - The EU has shown a willingness to accept a 10% tariff on various goods, while seeking commitments from the US to lower tariffs in key sectors such as pharmaceuticals, alcohol, semiconductors, and commercial aircraft [1][3] - The EU has made it clear that digital legislation will not be part of the trade negotiations, maintaining its sovereignty over regulatory decisions [5][6] Group 1: Potential Scenarios - Four potential scenarios outlined by EU officials include: reaching an acceptable but asymmetric agreement, the US proposing an unacceptable agreement, extending the deadline for negotiations, or the Trump administration exiting the talks and raising tariffs [1][3] - The most likely scenario involves the EU retaliating against the US if the Trump administration withdraws from negotiations and increases tariffs [4] Group 2: Tariff Discussions - The EU is pushing for the US to significantly reduce tariffs on automobiles and parts, which are currently at 25%, and on steel and aluminum products, which are at 50% [3][4] - The EU's acceptance of a 10% tariff marks a shift from its initial stance against such a rate, indicating a potential compromise in negotiations [3] Group 3: Digital Legislation - The EU has explicitly stated that its digital market and service laws will not be included in the trade talks, emphasizing its commitment to existing regulations [5][6] - The EU's digital market law aims to regulate major tech companies, predominantly US firms, and has already resulted in significant fines for companies like Apple and Meta [5][6] Group 4: Trade Data and Implications - The EU estimates that US tariffs currently cover approximately €380 billion worth of products, which constitutes about 70% of its total exports to the US [7] - In 2024, the EU exported $52.8 billion worth of automobiles and parts to the US, making it the largest export destination for these products [7]