今晚，油价迎年内首个“三连涨”！

Core Viewpoint - The National Development and Reform Commission announced an increase in domestic gasoline and diesel prices effective July 1, 2025, due to recent international oil price fluctuations, marking the sixth price hike of the year [1][2]. Price Adjustments - Gasoline and diesel prices will rise by 235 yuan and 225 yuan per ton, respectively, leading to an increase of 0.18 yuan, 0.19 yuan, and 0.19 yuan per liter for 92-octane gasoline, 95-octane gasoline, and 0-octane diesel [1]. - For a typical family car with a 50L fuel tank, filling up with 92-octane gasoline will cost an additional 9 yuan [1]. - This price adjustment results in a cumulative increase of 560 yuan per ton for gasoline and 540 yuan per ton for diesel since June 4, 2023 [1]. International Oil Price Trends - The adjustment is based on international oil price trends, which have shown volatility, with Brent crude oil prices fluctuating from around $73 per barrel to nearly $79, then dropping below $68 [2]. - The International Energy Agency forecasts a global oil supply increase of 1.8 million barrels per day for the year, with an expected surplus of approximately 1.1 million barrels per day [2]. - Seasonal demand in the Northern Hemisphere and low crude oil inventories are providing some support for international oil prices [2]. Future Outlook - The National Development and Reform Commission emphasizes the need to monitor geopolitical developments and changes in the global trade environment [3]. - Analysts predict that international oil prices may continue to experience fluctuations due to the seasonal peak in U.S. demand [3].