分布式光伏抢装潮落行业积极应对“不保量不保价”

Core Viewpoint - The distributed photovoltaic (PV) industry is undergoing a policy adjustment period following the implementation of new regulations, which has led to a surge in installations but increased uncertainty regarding future project profitability and market dynamics [1][4][9]. Group 1: Policy Changes and Market Impact - The new regulations, including the "Management Measures for the Development and Construction of Distributed Photovoltaic Power Generation" and the "Notice on Deepening the Market-oriented Reform of New Energy Grid Connection Prices," have significantly influenced the market, leading to a "rush to install" before the deadlines [1][2]. - In the first five months of the year, China saw nearly 200 GW of new PV installations, a 150% year-on-year increase, with May alone contributing 92.92 GW, marking a 388% increase [2]. - The shift from guaranteed pricing to market-based pricing for new projects post-June 1 introduces uncertainty in revenue, challenging the operational capabilities of companies in the sector [1][4]. Group 2: Industry Challenges and Adjustments - The rapid growth of distributed PV installations has led to issues such as grid connection and consumption management, prompting calls for regulatory standardization to ensure sustainable development [3]. - Companies are expected to adapt their business models to focus on high self-consumption ratios and minimize the burden on the grid, with many provinces implementing new regulations to enforce these requirements [3][5]. - The transition to uncertain pricing models is likely to create a temporary "window period" where market participants reassess their strategies and adapt to the new environment [4][5]. Group 3: Future Development and Innovations - Companies are increasingly focusing on integrated energy services, leveraging new technologies such as virtual power plants and microgrids to enhance project efficiency and profitability [7][8]. - The market is expected to see a shift towards high-load regions like Guangdong and Jiangsu, with increased competition among suppliers and contractors [5][8]. - Innovations in financial models and solutions are anticipated to emerge as companies seek to navigate the new pricing landscape and capitalize on the evolving market dynamics [5][6].