CENTENE CORPORATION WITHDRAWS 2025 GUIDANCE

Core Viewpoint - Centene Corporation has withdrawn its previous 2025 GAAP and adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) guidance due to lower-than-expected market growth and higher morbidity rates in the Health Insurance Marketplace [1][3]. Group 1: Financial Guidance and Market Analysis - The company analyzed 2025 Marketplace data from Wakely, covering 22 of its 29 states, which represents approximately 72% of its Marketplace membership [2]. - The preliminary analysis indicates a reduction in the full year net risk adjustment revenue transfer expectation by approximately $1.8 billion, leading to an adjusted diluted EPS impact of about $2.75 [4]. - The company anticipates further reductions in net risk adjustment revenue transfer expectations for the remaining seven states based on observed morbidity trends [5]. Group 2: Future Pricing and Market Strategy - Centene has begun the process of refiling 2026 Marketplace rates to reflect a higher projected baseline of Marketplace morbidity than previously expected [6]. - The company expects to implement corrective pricing actions for 2026 in states representing a substantial majority of its Marketplace membership [6]. Group 3: Medicaid and Medicare Performance - The Medicaid business has seen a step-up in medical cost trends, particularly in behavioral health, home health, and high-cost drugs, with expectations for a higher Medicaid Health Benefits Ratio (HBR) in Q2 2025 compared to Q1 2025 [8]. - The Medicare Advantage and Medicare Prescription Drug Plan businesses are performing better than expected in Q2 2025, contributing positively to the company's overall financial performance [9]. Group 4: Upcoming Reporting - The company is in the process of closing Q2 2025 and will report results and provide additional insights on July 25, 2025 [10].