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中信证券:冷源侧供需进入紧平衡状态 把握产业上行周期
智通财经网·2025-07-02 01:44

Core Insights - The global computing power market is entering a new high prosperity cycle, with rapid expansion in the HVAC and cooling markets [1] - The supply and demand in the cooling source sector are gradually reaching a tight balance, with major overseas manufacturers leading the market [1] - The main solution for cabinet cooling is currently the cold plate liquid cooling, which is continuously upgraded due to the increasing power density of servers [1] Group 1: Industry Trends - The construction of AIDC infrastructure is accelerating, leading to an upturn in HVAC equipment demand [1] - The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) predicts that by 2030, AI-driven data centers will account for 9% of the total electricity load in the U.S., resulting in a 14 GW installation gap [1] - Cooling systems represent the second-largest expenditure in new data centers, with the cooling source production side accounting for approximately 15% of AIDC construction investment [1] Group 2: Market Dynamics - The cooling machine compressor market is experiencing an upturn, with an increase in the penetration rate of liquid cooling technologies [2] - The mechanical refrigeration method is becoming more prevalent due to the rising power density of servers, leading to an increase in the demand for cooling water units [2] - The cold plate solution has become the mainstream application in cabinet cooling, consisting of four core components: cold plate, CDU, manifold, and quick connector [2] Group 3: Market Size and Growth - Major players in the cooling source sector include Johnson Controls, Carrier, Daikin, and Trane, which dominate the overseas market [3] - The market for cooling water units is projected to reach approximately 25.1 billion yuan by 2025, with compressors accounting for about 7.5 billion yuan [3] - The global liquid cooling market for data centers is estimated to be around 1.982 billion USD in 2023, with a year-on-year growth of 25.9% [3] - The market for cold plates, CDU, manifold, and quick connectors is expected to grow significantly, with a projected CAGR of 40% from 2025 to 2027 [3]