中欧建交50周年·汪泓：纵观人类历史，开放合作才是破局之道

Core Insights - The current global landscape is characterized by unprecedented uncertainty, which is influenced by geopolitical shifts, economic volatility, rapid technological changes, restructuring of global supply chains, and severe climate challenges [3][4]. Group 1: Geopolitical and Economic Context - Geopolitical tensions are evolving, with the IMF estimating a potential 7% reduction in global economic output if significant disruptions occur in the global order [3]. - High inflation and debt continue to loom over the global economy, with the IMF predicting a decline in global GDP growth to 3.1% over the next five years, down from an average of 3.8% five years ago [3]. - Climate-related disasters are estimated to cause economic losses of up to $520 billion annually, according to the World Bank [3]. Group 2: China-Europe Cooperation - China and Europe, as major global powers, can provide more certainty in the current uncertain times, with bilateral trade reaching nearly $780 billion, a growth of over 300 times since diplomatic relations began [3]. - The economic cooperation between China and France has expanded across multiple sectors, including healthcare, consumer goods, energy, and technology, signaling a commitment to multilateralism and free trade [4]. - The China Europe International Business School (CEIBS), established by the Chinese government and the EU, serves as a model for educational cooperation and has achieved significant international recognition, with its Global EMBA program ranked first globally [5].