Core Viewpoint - The electric tools market is experiencing a significant recovery in 2024, with notable increases in the shipment of drill chucks and lithium batteries, leading to improved gross margins and strong revenue growth in electric tool components. The company is also seeing growth in smart manufacturing orders, indicating potential expansion into the robotics sector [1]. Group 1: Investment Highlights - The company is initiating coverage with a "Buy" rating, forecasting net profits of 283 million, 334 million, and 380 million yuan for 2025-2027, with corresponding earnings per share of 0.63, 0.75, and 0.85 yuan. The target price is set at 13.32 yuan based on a 21X PE ratio for 2025 [2]. Group 2: Financial Performance - The gross margin has improved, with electric tool components revenue showing significant growth. In 2024, the revenue from electric tool components and new energy series accounted for 44.68% and 36.43% respectively, with gross margins increasing by 3.28 percentage points and 14.10 percentage points year-on-year. Domestic revenue decreased by 20.93%, while international revenue increased by 42.27%, with international revenue's share rising by 12.05 percentage points [3]. - The company's total revenue for 2024 is projected at 2.221 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 6.18%, while net profit is expected to reach 300 million yuan, reflecting an 80.31% increase. The gross margin is anticipated to be 25.89%, up by 7.13 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to a reduction in direct material costs for new energy products [3]. Group 3: Market Trends - The global electric tools market is expected to rebound significantly in 2024, with shipments projected to reach 570 million units, a year-on-year increase of 24.8%. Lithium battery-powered tools are expected to account for 93.4% of cordless tools, with shipments of 2.63 billion units, up 25.4% year-on-year. The global market for drill chucks is projected to reach 321 million USD in 2024, with a CAGR of 5.0% from 2024 to 2031 [4]. - The company is a leading player in the drill chuck industry, with its subsidiary expanding lithium battery products into smart appliances and new electric bicycles. The company is solidifying its core business and collaborating with major industry players [4].
山东威达(002026):主业稳健增长 第二成长曲线蓄势待发