泰国商业团体：贸易谈判不太可能很快结束。预计下半年出口同比下降逾10%。希望泰国央行下调基准利率，管控泰铢汇率。

Core Viewpoint - The Thai business community believes that trade negotiations are unlikely to conclude quickly, indicating ongoing challenges in international trade relations [1] Group 1: Trade Outlook - Exports are expected to decline by over 10% year-on-year in the second half of the year, reflecting a significant downturn in trade performance [1] Group 2: Monetary Policy - There is a call for the Bank of Thailand to lower the benchmark interest rate to manage the exchange rate of the Thai baht, suggesting concerns over currency stability [1]