Is NIO on Track to Meet its 2025 Vehicle Deliveries Target?

Core Insights - NIO Inc. reported a total of 24,925 vehicle deliveries in June, marking a year-over-year growth of 17.5%. For Q2, the company delivered 72,056 vehicles, which is a 25.6% increase compared to the same quarter last year and within the company's guidance range [1][9]. Delivery Performance - In Q2, NIO's namesake brand sold 47,132 cars, reflecting an approximate decline of 18% from the same quarter in 2024. The ONVO brand delivered 17,081 units, while Firefly delivered 7,843 units [2]. - The ONVO and Firefly brands have diversified NIO's product portfolio, contributing to sales momentum, but this growth appears to be at the expense of the core NIO brand [3]. Year-to-Date Performance - In the first half of 2025, NIO sold 114,150 vehicles, representing an increase of over 30% from the previous year. However, this growth is insufficient to meet the company's ambitious target of doubling sales to 330,000 vehicles in 2025 [4][5]. Competitive Landscape - Li Auto delivered 36,279 units in June and 111,074 vehicles in Q2 2025, with a modest growth rate of 2.3%. XPeng Inc. delivered 34,611 smart EVs in June, achieving a remarkable 224% year-over-year increase and setting a new quarterly record with 103,181 cars sold in Q2 [6][7]. Stock Performance - NIO's shares have declined approximately 19% year-to-date, compared to an 8% decline in the broader industry [8]. Valuation Metrics - NIO currently trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 0.45 and holds a Value Score of D, indicating potential concerns regarding its valuation [10].