热点问答｜美国“大而美”法案影响几何

Core Points - The "Big and Beautiful" bill is a significant legislative agenda introduced by Trump, focusing on extending tax cuts for corporations and individuals, with the Senate version making these cuts permanent [1][2] - The bill is controversial, criticized for increasing federal deficits and benefiting the wealthy at the expense of low-income Americans, with projections indicating a significant decline in disposable income for the lowest income quintile [2][4] - The bill faces challenges in the House of Representatives, where Democratic leaders and some conservative Republicans express strong opposition, complicating its passage [3][4] Summary by Sections Key Content of the Bill - The bill aims to extend tax cuts from Trump's first term, including corporate tax reductions and exemptions for tips and overtime pay [1] - The Congressional Budget Office estimates that the extended tax cuts will cost over $4.5 trillion over the next decade and increase the deficit by nearly $3.3 trillion [1] Legislative Challenges - The House of Representatives passed the bill with a narrow margin, and the Senate's modifications require further approval from the House before reaching Trump's desk [3] - Democratic leaders are expected to oppose the bill using all legislative tools available, while some Republicans have expressed dissatisfaction with the Senate version [4] Expected Impacts - Short-term investor concerns about U.S. borrowing sustainability have led to capital flight from U.S. Treasury markets [5] - The bill is projected to disproportionately benefit high-income groups while negatively impacting low-income individuals' access to healthcare, with an estimated 11.8 million Americans potentially losing health insurance by 2034 [5] - Public sentiment is increasingly negative towards the Trump administration's handling of economic issues, with rising concerns about inflation and government spending [5]