Core Insights - The "Bond Connect" program, particularly the "Northbound" channel, has significantly enhanced the accessibility of China's interbank bond market for foreign investors, marking its eighth anniversary on July 3, 2025 [1][2][3] Market Growth and Participation - The trading volume of the "Northbound" channel reached 915.6 billion RMB in May 2025, a 12.79-fold increase compared to May 2018, with an average daily trading volume of 48.2 billion RMB [3] - As of May 2025, there were 835 market participants in the "Northbound" channel, more than double the 315 participants in May 2018 [3] - The total scale of China's bond market has reached 183 trillion RMB, making it the second largest in the world [6][7] Structural Changes and Innovations - The "Northbound" channel has seen a diversification of participants, expanding from primarily asset management investors to include sovereign institutions and commercial banks [4] - Various innovations have been introduced, such as the "Swap Connect" and enhancements in risk management tools, which have improved the trading ecosystem for foreign investors [5][6] Internationalization of RMB Assets - The "Bond Connect" has become a crucial channel for foreign investors to allocate RMB assets, contributing to the internationalization of the RMB [3][4] - As of May 2025, foreign institutions held 4.35 trillion RMB in interbank market bonds, accounting for 2.6% of the total custodial volume [7] Future Outlook - There is an expectation for further product diversification within the "Northbound" channel, including bond forwards and total return swaps, which could enhance foreign participation in China's interest rate products [5][6] - The ongoing development of the "Southbound" channel is anticipated to bring additional liquidity to the Hong Kong bond market and deepen the connectivity between domestic and international bond markets [8]
【财经分析】债券通八周年：超三十倍日均成交“搭配”工具升级 为多层次债券市场注入活力
Xin Hua Cai Jing·2025-07-03 05:15