2025年全球经济半年报，哪些指标在预警，哪些领域有亮点

Group 1 - Global top bankers show increasing confidence that the worst market period is over, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq indices reaching new highs, boosting optimism for more active M&A activities in the second half of the year [1] - The World Bank's latest report indicates that global foreign direct investment (FDI) continues to decline, with a projected drop of 11% to approximately $1.5 trillion in 2024, marking two consecutive years of decline [4][10] - The digital economy is one of the few sectors experiencing growth, with a 14% increase in global FDI in this area for 2024, driven by greenfield investments, particularly in data centers, AI, cloud computing, and cybersecurity [13] Group 2 - Despite a decline in overall FDI, North America saw a 23% increase, while Europe experienced a significant drop of 58% [5] - The global M&A activity is on the rise, with over 17,528 transactions signed in the first half of the year, although the total number of deals is lower than the previous year, the size of transactions has increased, particularly in Asia [14] - The WTO predicts that despite challenges, service trade is expected to maintain growth, with a projected volume of $4.25 trillion by March 2025, accounting for nearly 14% of global goods and services exports [14]