低速无人驾驶时代加速到来

Core Insights - The low-speed autonomous delivery vehicle market is experiencing significant price reductions and increased capital interest, indicating a promising growth trajectory for the industry [1][2][3] Price Trends - Since 2025, the prices of autonomous delivery vehicles have been consistently decreasing, with models like the E6 priced under 20,000 yuan and promotional offers from various companies [2] - The sales scale of China's low-speed autonomous delivery vehicle industry reached 12.3 billion yuan in 2024, a 45% year-on-year increase, with sales volume of approximately 33,000 units, up 34% [2] - Projections suggest that sales volume will exceed 47,000 units and sales value will reach 18.5 billion yuan in 2025, potentially hitting 95,000 units and over 41 billion yuan by 2030 [2] Market Expansion - Major logistics companies like Cainiao, Meituan, JD, and Jitu are rapidly expanding their delivery routes and application scenarios in cities like Beijing and Shenzhen [2] - In Shenzhen, nearly 300 autonomous delivery vehicles are currently operational, with expectations to surpass 1,000 by the end of 2025 [3] Capital Investment - The autonomous delivery vehicle sector has seen significant financing activity, including 1 billion yuan in funding for New Stone Technology and 100 million USD for Jiushi Intelligent [3][6] Industry Transformation - The logistics industry is expected to undergo a profound transformation driven by automation and the integration of autonomous vehicles, with a focus on improving efficiency in the last-mile delivery process [4][5] - Companies are encouraged to develop specialized vehicles, such as cold chain delivery vehicles, to enhance service quality [5] Policy and Market Dynamics - The Chinese government aims to reduce logistics costs to 13.5% of GDP by 2027, promoting the integration of autonomous technologies in logistics [5] - The current management of autonomous delivery vehicles is primarily under non-motor vehicle regulations, with a need for standardized definitions and management practices to facilitate broader adoption [6]