美联储7月维持利率不变的概率为95.3%

Group 1 - The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged in July is 95.3% [1] - The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in July is 4.7% [1] - For September, the probability of maintaining rates is 33%, while the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut is 64% and a 50 basis point cut is 3% [1] Group 2 - The projected interest rate probabilities for the upcoming FOMC meetings are as follows: - 3.25%-3.50%: 0.0% - 3.50%-3.75%: 0.0% (September) 2.6% (October) - 3.75%-4.00%: 0.0% (July) 3.0% (September) 55.8% (October) - 4.00%-4.25%: 4.7% (July) 64.0% (September) 37.1% (October) - 4.25%-4.50% (current rate): 95.3% (July) 33.0% (September) 4.4% (October) [4]