
Core Viewpoint - Arbor Realty Trust (ABR) is experiencing a decline in stock price and is expected to report lower earnings and revenue in the upcoming earnings disclosure compared to the previous year [1][2][3]. Company Performance - The stock closed at $10.90, down 1.45% from the previous trading session, underperforming the S&P 500, which gained 0.83% [1]. - Over the past month, Arbor Realty Trust's stock has increased by 14.49%, outperforming the Finance sector's gain of 3.44% and the S&P 500's gain of 4.99% [1]. Earnings Expectations - The anticipated EPS for the upcoming earnings report is $0.29, representing a 35.56% decrease from the same quarter last year [2]. - Revenue is projected to be $237.24 million, reflecting a 20.17% decline from the equivalent quarter last year [2]. Annual Estimates - For the annual period, the Zacks Consensus Estimates predict earnings of $1.18 per share and revenue of $959.31 million, indicating decreases of 32.18% and 17.86% respectively from the previous year [3]. Analyst Forecasts - Recent revisions to analyst forecasts are crucial as they reflect near-term business trends, with positive changes indicating a favorable outlook on business health and profitability [3][4]. Zacks Rank - Arbor Realty Trust currently holds a Zacks Rank of 5 (Strong Sell), with the consensus EPS estimate remaining stagnant over the past month [5]. - The Zacks Rank system has a strong track record, with 1 stocks averaging an annual return of +25% since 1988 [5]. Valuation Metrics - Arbor Realty Trust is trading at a Forward P/E ratio of 9.41, which is higher than the industry average of 8.74, suggesting it is trading at a premium [6]. - The REIT and Equity Trust industry is part of the Finance sector and currently holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 184, placing it in the bottom 26% of over 250 industries [6][7].