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与大摩唱反调!巴克莱上调布油年底价格预测至72美元
智通财经网·2025-07-04 03:10

Group 1 - Barclays has raised its Brent crude oil price forecasts for 2025 and 2026, increasing the 2025 forecast by $6 to $72 per barrel and the 2026 forecast by $10 to $70 per barrel, due to optimistic demand outlook [1] - Global oil inventories declined in Q2 despite increased OPEC+ production, driven by strong demand growth and a slowdown in supply growth from non-OPEC producers [1] - The bank has increased its global oil demand growth forecast by 260,000 barrels per day, primarily from OECD countries, which are experiencing unexpectedly strong oil demand [1] Group 2 - Barclays noted that while OPEC+ may accelerate the gradual removal of voluntary production cuts, actual production increases may lag behind due to pressures on some member countries to control output [2] - The report highlighted that OPEC+'s target production increased by 548,000 barrels per day from March to May 2025, but overall production remained stable, indicating better compliance [2] - The bank anticipates a global oil supply surplus of approximately 1.3 million barrels per day in 2026, with non-OECD countries' oil supply expected to increase by 1 million barrels per day in both 2025 and 2026, sufficient to meet demand growth during that period [2]