沪银走势温和七月不降息可能性上升

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the positive performance of the U.S. labor market, with June's non-farm payrolls adding 147,000 jobs, significantly exceeding the expected 110,000 [3] - The unemployment rate decreased from 4.2% to 4.1%, better than the anticipated 4.3% [3] - The labor force participation rate slightly declined from 62.4% to 62.3% [3] - Average hourly earnings year-on-year growth fell from 3.8% in May to 3.7% in June, although it was above the expected 3.6% [3] Group 2 - The ISM Services PMI for June rose from 49.9 in May to 50.8, surpassing the expected 50.5 [4] - Strong employment data suggests a decreased likelihood of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates sooner than expected, leading to a stronger dollar and increased pressure on the gold market [4] - Market expectations for the Federal Reserve to remain on hold during the July meeting increased from 76.2% to 95.3% following the employment report [4] - Investors now predict a 53 basis point rate cut by the end of the year, down from an earlier estimate of 66 basis points [4] Group 3 - Silver futures in the domestic market showed a short-term bullish trend, with prices reported at 8,914 yuan per kilogram, up 0.53% [5] - The highest price reached was 8,950 yuan per kilogram, while the lowest was 8,877 yuan per kilogram [5] - Resistance levels are identified between 8,976 and 8,986 yuan, with support levels between 8,644 and 8,654 yuan [5]