英国财长上任周年：增税压力与财政困境交织

Core Viewpoint - The UK Chancellor Rachel Reeves faces significant challenges in achieving her economic stability goals due to weak economic growth, market volatility, and internal divisions over welfare reforms, leading to expectations of new tax increases later this year [1][2][3] Group 1: Economic Conditions - The UK economy is experiencing stagnation, with public debt nearing 100% of GDP, prompting concerns about fiscal sustainability [1] - The government's current policies to stimulate economic growth have shown minimal effectiveness, leading to a potential need for hundreds of billions in new tax revenue to address the expanding fiscal gap [1][2] Group 2: Taxation and Fiscal Policy - Reeves initially promised up to £40 billion in tax increases, the largest in 30 years, to fund infrastructure investments and establish "non-negotiable" fiscal rules [2] - Analysts emphasize that any new tax measures must be substantial and clear to restore market confidence, avoiding fragmented approaches that raise accounting concerns [2][3] Group 3: Political Landscape - Prime Minister Keir Starmer is attempting to bolster public confidence by highlighting progress in trade agreements, foreign investment, and spending in education and healthcare, yet recent polls show the Labour Party trailing behind right-wing reform parties [2] - Investors criticize the government's leadership, noting a lack of awareness among voters and businesses regarding the necessity of fiscal tightening and structural reforms [3]