鸡蛋价格，又跌了

Group 1 - The National Disaster Reduction and Relief Committee, along with other departments, has identified a complex and severe natural disaster risk situation as China enters the main flood season in July [1] - The Ministry of Commerce is closely monitoring rainfall and flood conditions in southern China, ensuring sufficient supply of essential goods, with wholesale prices of staple foods remaining stable [1] - Egg prices have been declining since the beginning of the year, with a notable drop of over 40% compared to January, and a recent price of 2.49 yuan per jin in Handan, Hebei [1] Group 2 - The number of laying hens in China reached a historical high, with 13.34 billion hens recorded in May, and a projected increase to 13.4 billion in June, reflecting a 0.45% month-on-month growth [2] - Historical data indicates that when the number of laying hens approaches or exceeds 13.5 billion, the industry often faces significant losses, leading to a reduction in production capacity [2] - Past cycles show that the egg-laying industry has experienced substantial losses for 6-7 months before entering a price recovery phase [2] Group 3 - The outlook for egg prices in the second half of the year suggests continued supply pressure due to increasing laying hen numbers and seasonal price declines during the rainy season [3] - A potential rebound in egg prices may occur in August and September if there is a significant culling of hens driven by low prices and increased demand during the Mid-Autumn Festival [3] - The traditional peak consumption season may be affected if the expected culling does not materialize as anticipated [3]