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沪指年内新高!“7月翻身”来了?公募最新解读
Zhong Guo Ji Jin Bao·2025-07-04 13:25

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing a rebound, with the Shanghai Composite Index reaching a new high of 3472.32 points, driven primarily by emotional factors rather than significant macroeconomic or industry fundamentals [1][3] Market Trends - The current market rebound is characterized by a central oscillation trend upwards, influenced by a release of market sentiment and improved risk appetite, despite a lack of substantial macroeconomic catalysts [1][3] - The banking sector has shown strong performance, with several bank stocks reaching all-time highs, supported by favorable financial policies and improving asset quality [1][2] Historical Context - The "July turnaround" phenomenon is historically driven by a combination of capital, policy, and sentiment, with July typically seeing improved liquidity and positive signals from central government meetings [3] - The market's response to GDP growth uncertainties is already priced in, with a focus on the effectiveness of growth-stabilizing policies [3] Structural Opportunities - Investment opportunities are seen in sectors driven by new technologies and high dividend yields, with a focus on areas such as solid-state batteries, nuclear fusion, digital currencies, and AI applications in healthcare [4][5] - The AI sector is highlighted for its potential, with a closed-loop system enhancing user engagement and driving demand for computational power, indicating significant commercial opportunities [5] Investment Strategies - Fund companies suggest a focus on sectors with strong earnings certainty and thorough chip clearing, including wind power, gaming, and new energy sectors like lithium and photovoltaics [5] - The mid-term outlook remains positive for the equity market, particularly in AI applications, semiconductor supply chains, and pharmaceuticals [5]