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周末大事+十大券商最新研判
Zhong Guo Ji Jin Bao·2025-07-06 14:49

Group 1: Semiconductor and Integrated Circuit Industry - Shenzhen has introduced 10 measures to promote high-quality development in the semiconductor and integrated circuit industry, establishing a total scale of 5 billion yuan for the "Semi-Industry Private Equity Fund" to support the optimization and upgrading of the entire industry chain [2] Group 2: Government Procurement and Medical Devices - The Ministry of Finance has decided to implement measures in government procurement activities regarding medical devices imported from the EU, requiring that for procurement budgets over 45 million yuan, EU enterprises (excluding EU-funded enterprises in China) must be excluded from participation [3] Group 3: Cross-Border Payment System - The People's Bank of China is soliciting opinions on the draft business rules for the Renminbi Cross-Border Payment System (CIPS), which outlines detailed processes for account management, funding, and settlement for CIPS participants [4] Group 4: Mergers and Acquisitions - The Shanghai Stock Exchange has approved the merger of China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation and China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation, marking the completion of the largest absorption merger transaction in A-share history [5] Group 5: U.S. Tax and Spending Legislation - President Trump signed the "Big and Beautiful" tax and spending bill into law, which has been controversial due to its implications for federal aid cuts and long-term debt increases [6] Group 6: New Tariffs - President Trump announced new tariffs with rates potentially reaching 70%, with letters to trade partners being sent out starting July 4, and the new tariffs expected to take effect on August 1 [7][8] Group 7: Market Analysis and Investment Strategies - Citic Securities notes that the current market environment resembles late 2014, with a focus on sectors like AI and innovative pharmaceuticals, while emphasizing the importance of a catalyst for market movement [10] - China Securities Strategy suggests that the market's central tendency will continue to rise, with potential adjustments providing good layout opportunities, particularly in sectors like electronics, communications, and new consumption [11] - Huashan Strategy raises concerns about the sustainability of the "anti-involution" trend, suggesting that while there are short-term opportunities, the overall impact may be limited [12] - Guojin Strategy highlights a shift towards real assets as global manufacturing activity rebounds, indicating a potential for improved capital returns in China [13] - The market is expected to remain stable with a focus on sectors benefiting from "anti-involution" and AI trends, as noted by the招商策略 [14] - Zhongyin Strategy anticipates increased volatility in overseas markets, particularly due to upcoming tariff negotiations and the implications of the "Big and Beautiful" bill [15] - Shenwan Hongyuan Strategy emphasizes the distinction between "capital expenditure reduction" and "capacity reduction," suggesting that the latter will have a more prolonged impact on profitability [16] - The market is currently in a consolidation phase, with a focus on structural opportunities in technology and military sectors, as noted by Guotai Haitong [20] - Xinda Strategy indicates that while capacity reduction is crucial, its short-term impact on profitability may be limited without a demand recovery [21]