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欧佩克+超预期增产致美油价格盘中跌超2%,国际油价会否失守60美元关口
Di Yi Cai Jing·2025-07-07 05:25

Group 1 - OPEC+ is expected to continue increasing production in September, potentially leading to an earlier completion of the voluntary reduction plan initiated in April, which aimed to cut 2.2 million barrels per day [1] - As of July 5, OPEC+ decided to increase production by 548,000 barrels per day, with the goal of gradually unwinding the previous reduction plan [1] - The cumulative increase in OPEC+ production quotas from April to August has reached 1.918 million barrels per day, indicating a significant rise in output [2] Group 2 - Analysts suggest that the increase in OPEC+ production may lead to oversupply and a decline in oil prices, with predictions that prices could drop to $60 per barrel, below the fiscal breakeven level for OPEC members [2] - The current market is dominated by expectations of oversupply, with limited growth in demand anticipated in the coming months despite a healthy consumption season [4] - The uncertainty surrounding U.S. tariffs under the Trump administration is contributing to weakened market sentiment, raising concerns about global trade and economic growth, which could further suppress oil demand [4]