降息扰动国际白银震荡

Group 1 - The market has mixed expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, with strong economic data suggesting a potential for rate hikes rather than cuts [1] - The U.S. economy remains robust, with 147,000 new jobs added in June and an unemployment rate of 4.1%, which typically indicates rising interest rate expectations [1] - Despite the strong economic indicators, the market anticipates an 80 basis point easing policy by the Federal Reserve in 2025, with potential rate cuts in September and December, and possibly as early as July due to political pressure [1] Group 2 - Early rate cuts could lower the opportunity cost of holding silver, potentially benefiting silver prices, but there are concerns that rapid cuts could lead to a rebound in inflation [1] - Historical precedents suggest that premature easing by the Federal Reserve often results in economic overheating, presenting both opportunities and challenges for silver [1] - In the short term, expectations of rate cuts may cause volatility in gold prices, but the long-term outlook indicates that the Federal Reserve's easing stance will support silver prices [1] Group 3 - Technically, silver prices are trending downward, with the latest trading at $36.31 per ounce, down 0.82%, and a trading range between $36.34 and $37.21 [2] - The current resistance levels for silver are between $37.40 and $37.50, while support levels are between $35.20 and $35.30 [2] - As of July 7, silver prices are fluctuating within a range, trading at $36.61 per ounce, with a similar decline of 0.82% [3]