欧洲热浪引爆电价！风电产能骤降 煤气发电紧急补供

Core Viewpoint - The expected significant decline in wind power generation during the summer in Europe will lead to an increase in coal and gas power generation, resulting in higher electricity prices and increased emissions [1][4]. Group 1: Electricity Generation Trends - Major markets including Germany, France, and Spain are projected to see a 50% increase in coal power generation this month compared to June [1]. - Energy Aspects estimates a 40% decline in wind power generation for July and August [1]. - Historical fossil fuel power plants in Europe may be reactivated, highlighting their continued importance despite investments in renewable energy [1]. Group 2: Electricity Prices - On July 1, the hourly electricity price at the Paris EPEX Spot SE surged to €557.34 per megawatt-hour, nearly nine times higher than the lowest price of the day [1]. - The electricity futures price in Germany for next month is €80.94 per megawatt-hour, approximately one-third higher than in April [1]. Group 3: Weather Impact - Recent temperatures in parts of Germany have approached 40 degrees Celsius, exacerbating the situation for wind power generation [2]. - If the cessation of wind power generation continues for an extended period, fossil fuels will need to fill the evening demand gap in the electricity market [2]. Group 4: Emissions and Historical Context - According to BloombergNEF, emissions from EU power plants may increase by 14% this month compared to June [4]. - Similar patterns of low power generation were observed last winter and spring, necessitating increased output from fossil fuel power plants to ensure electricity supply [4].