Is a Beat in the Cards for Delta Air Lines in Q2 Earnings?

Core Viewpoint - Delta Air Lines is expected to report its second-quarter 2025 results on July 10, with earnings anticipated to be lower than the previous year despite a slight upward revision in estimates [1][2]. Group 1: Earnings Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Delta's Q2 2025 earnings is $1.99 per share, reflecting a 15.7% decline from the same quarter last year [2]. - Delta has outperformed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in two of the last four quarters, with an average beat of 3.96% [1]. Group 2: Revenue Expectations - The revenue estimate for Q2 2025 is $16.18 billion, indicating a 2.89% year-over-year decline [5]. - Delta has provided a cautious outlook for Q2 2025, projecting adjusted revenues to either decline by 2% or increase by up to 2% year-over-year [5]. Group 3: Influencing Factors - Geopolitical uncertainty, tariff pressures, and persistent inflation are expected to negatively impact Delta's operations and travel demand, particularly in international and business segments [3]. - Rising labor costs are projected to increase by 13.2% compared to Q2 2024, which may pressure margins and revenue [4]. - Low oil prices, which decreased by 6% in the April-June 2025 period, could help offset some cost pressures for Delta [6]. Group 4: Earnings Prediction Model - Delta has an Earnings ESP of +0.26% and a Zacks Rank of 3, suggesting a potential earnings beat this quarter [7].