Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that the Bank of Korea is expected to pause its interest rate cuts in the upcoming meeting, but a resumption of rate cuts is anticipated next month to support economic growth [1][2] - Economic data shows that mortgage loans in South Korea increased by 5.6 trillion won (approximately 4.1 billion USD) in May, which is an acceleration from the previous month's increase of 4.8 trillion won [1] - The Bank of Korea's monetary policy committee members express concerns about the risks associated with the real estate market and household debt, emphasizing the need for caution [1] Group 2 - Despite a cumulative rate cut of 100 basis points since the end of last year, the Bank of Korea's committee members believe further monetary easing is necessary to stimulate economic growth, especially after a 0.2% contraction in the first quarter [2] - Most economists predict that the policy rate will be lowered by 25 basis points to 2.25% by the end of the third quarter, with differing opinions on the year-end rate among economists [2] - Economic growth expectations for 2025 have been revised down from 1.3% to 0.9%, aligning closely with the Bank of Korea's forecast of 0.8%, while the average inflation rate for this year is expected to be around 2.0% [2]
路透调查：家庭债务劲升警讯亮起 韩国央行7月会议料暂停降息
Xin Hua Cai Jing·2025-07-08 05:42