Group 1 - The Australian dollar (AUD) has appreciated against the US dollar (USD), currently trading around 0.6515, up 0.39% from the previous close of 0.6490 [1] - The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is expected to announce a rate cut, with market pricing showing an 84.6% probability of a rate decrease and a total of three cuts anticipated within the year [1] - Manufacturing PMI for June fell to 50.6, slightly below expectations, but remains above the expansion threshold, indicating that manufacturing activity has not yet contracted [1] Group 2 - The AUD/USD pair experienced a significant decline, breaking below the psychological level of 0.6500, reaching a near two-week low [2] - The loss of bullish momentum and the breach of the 10-day and 20-day moving averages have weakened the technical structure on the daily chart [2] - Key support levels are identified at 0.6455 and 0.6413, with a potential for further declines if these levels are breached, indicating a strong bearish signal [2]
澳洲联储降息预期发酵 澳元走势面临关键考验
Jin Tou Wang·2025-07-08 06:19