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【财经分析】北方华创12英寸设备迎突破 半导体设备行业复苏弹性偏强
Xin Hua Cai Jing·2025-07-08 08:01

Group 1 - Northern Huachuang has launched the SICRIUS PY302 series 12-inch low-pressure chemical vapor deposition vertical furnace, overcoming three major technical bottlenecks in high aspect ratio structure filling, high flatness film growth, and compatibility with low-temperature processes, marking a significant breakthrough in high-end semiconductor equipment [2] - The semiconductor industry is currently in a recovery phase, with a structural differentiation pattern where high-end products remain tight while mid-to-low-end products face pressure [2][3] - A-share semiconductor equipment companies are expected to see a 32% year-on-year increase in revenue to 19.045 billion yuan and a 28% increase in net profit to 2.782 billion yuan in Q1 2025, indicating a strong growth trend [3] Group 2 - Domestic semiconductor equipment manufacturers are experiencing revenue growth driven by the acceleration of domestic substitution and increasing orders, with companies like Changchuan Technology and Yitang Co. expecting significant profit increases of 68% to 95% and 24% to 37% respectively [3][4] - Morgan Stanley has raised its 2025 global semiconductor equipment market size forecast from $104 billion to $109 billion, attributing this increase to the Chinese market, particularly in wafer foundry and logic chip equipment spending [4] - The AI wave is accelerating global technology competition, which is expected to drive the expansion of advanced wafer fabs and equipment sales in mainland China, supported by national policies [5][6] Group 3 - Public funds are increasingly allocating resources to technology stocks in the semiconductor equipment sector, with companies like Northern Huachuang and Zhongwei Company becoming top holdings [7] - The domestic semiconductor equipment industry is expected to enter an expansion phase in the second half of 2025, with local chip companies needing to seize structural opportunities in high-end manufacturing and domestic substitution [6][8] - Advanced process production lines have begun placing orders with domestic equipment companies, indicating a strong demand for high aspect ratio equipment and other advanced technologies [8]