Core Viewpoint - International gold prices are experiencing fluctuations and have fallen below the $3,330 mark, influenced by Trump's extension of tariff delays until August, which puts pressure on gold prices [1][3] Group 1: Tariff Policy Impact - Trump signed an executive order delaying the "reciprocal tariffs" originally set to take effect on July 9 until August 1, providing additional negotiation time for trade partners [3] - If satisfactory trade agreements are not reached by the deadline, countries will face significant punitive tariffs, continuing Trump's hardline approach [3] - Tariffs of 25% will be imposed on imports from Japan and South Korea, with rates ranging from 25% to 40% for Malaysia, South Africa, Indonesia, Myanmar, and Thailand, and an additional 10% for countries aligned with anti-American policies [3] Group 2: Gold Price Analysis - Gold prices are currently above the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) of $3,320 per ounce, with the relative strength index (RSI) indicating potential stability above $3,300 in the short term [3] - If gold closes below the 50-day moving average, it is expected to test the $3,300 level, followed by the swing low of $3,246 from June 30 [4] - A failure to break the resistance at $3,348 may lead to a pullback to $3,320, with another resistance level at $3,345 [5] Group 3: Future Price Projections - A breakthrough above $3,348 could lead to further increases in the range of $3,357 to $3,366, indicating a continuation of the upward trend since $3,247 [6] - The current downtrend from $3,451 remains intact, with the price moving within a target range of $3,071 to $3,216 [6] - A breakthrough above $3,361 would invalidate the current wave pattern, potentially allowing prices to return to the high of $3,451 [6]
国际黄金技术分析:金价回撤调整或测试这一支撑
Jin Tou Wang·2025-07-08 08:43