特朗普对14国加征最高40%关税，欧美协议能否在7月9日前紧急冲线？

Group 1 - The article discusses the potential short-term and non-binding nature of any preliminary trade agreement between the US and EU, with a focus on tariffs imposed by the US on imports from 14 countries starting August 1 [1][4] - The EU is negotiating to maintain a 10% baseline tariff while seeking exemptions for sensitive industries like aircraft and spirits, and discussions are ongoing regarding a 25% reduction in auto tariffs [1][5] - There is a significant divergence within the EU regarding the acceptance of agreement terms, with Germany advocating for a deal while France emphasizes a strong stance against high tariffs [5][6] Group 2 - The economic impact of US-EU trade negotiations is expected to vary, with a baseline scenario suggesting a potential agreement later this year that could exert short-term pressure on European economic growth and corporate profits [2] - Recent data indicates a decline in Germany's exports, particularly to the US, with a 7.7% drop in May, marking the lowest level in three years, which may signal challenges for European exports in the coming months [7][8] - The possibility of a breakdown in negotiations could lead to higher tariffs and economic recession for Europe, although there remains optimism for a compromise that could benefit both parties, particularly in defense spending and energy procurement [8]