EV Tax Credits Are Ending—Here's Why These 2 Stocks Could Soar

Industry Overview - The electric vehicle (EV) market is experiencing significant growth, with EV sales expected to represent 20% of new car sales in 2024 and projected to reach 40% by 2030, indicating a clear growth market for investors [2][3] - The expiration of significant tax breaks for EV purchases in the U.S. is anticipated to impact adoption rates, yet analysts remain optimistic about the overall growth of the EV market [3] Company Insights: VinFast Auto - VinFast Auto primarily produces low-cost EVs in Vietnam, with a current stock price of $3.50 and a price target of $5.75, suggesting a potential upside of nearly 64% [4] - The end of the EV tax credit may benefit VinFast, as its vehicles were previously at a disadvantage due to ineligibility for the credit, leveling the competitive landscape [5] - In 2024, U.S. sales account for only 6.2% of VinFast's total revenues, presenting a significant growth opportunity as the company expands its U.S. presence [6] - VinFast's recent performance shows a 296% increase in EV deliveries and a 473% increase in e-scooter deliveries, although the company remains unprofitable with a gross margin of negative 35%, an improvement from negative 59% a year ago [7] - The opening of a second factory and the signing of its first authorized dealership in California are steps taken to enhance U.S. market presence [8] Company Insights: Lucid Group - Lucid Group's stock is currently priced at $2.30, with a consensus price target of $2.68, indicating a potential upside of 27%, while recent updates suggest a more bullish outlook with a target of $3, implying a 42% upside [9][10] - Approximately 73% of Lucid's revenue comes from the U.S., with the company also facing the expiration of tax credits, which some analysts believe may reduce competition from traditional automakers [10][11] - In Q2, Lucid delivered 3,309 vehicles, marking a 38% increase year-over-year, but the company remains highly unprofitable and needs to significantly boost deliveries to improve its financial standing [12] Competitive Landscape - Both VinFast and Lucid are competing in the crowded U.S. vehicle market, where success is crucial for achieving the scale necessary for profitability [13]