Si Chuan Ri Bao·2025-07-09 00:24Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in the photovoltaic (PV) equipment sector in the A-share market is driven by a series of favorable policies aimed at combating "involution" and promoting high-quality development within the industry [1][2]. Policy Background - The central government has intensified signals against "involution," with the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) mandating PV companies to report their cost prices, threatening penalties for those selling below cost [2][4]. - High-level meetings involving major PV companies indicate a strong governmental commitment to addressing disordered competition and enhancing product quality [2][4]. - The "anti-involution" measures have been a recurring theme in government discussions since last year, with multiple policy documents emphasizing the need for comprehensive regulation [2][4]. Industry Background - The PV industry is experiencing severe overcapacity, with significant price declines across the supply chain. In 2024, prices for polysilicon, silicon wafers, batteries, and modules are expected to drop by 39%, 50%, 40%, and 29% respectively [6][7]. - The industry's rapid expansion has led to a situation where many companies are selling products below cost, resulting in substantial losses. In 2024, major PV companies reported losses exceeding 600 billion yuan [6][7]. - The growth of the PV sector is notable, with projected installation capacity growth rates of 13.9%, 59.3%, 148.1%, and 28.3% from 2021 to 2024 [6]. Sichuan Countermeasures - Sichuan, a major player in the PV industry, is implementing strategies to address overcapacity while promoting technological upgrades and competitive advantages [9][10]. - The province is witnessing short-term challenges, including production cuts and layoffs, but long-term benefits are anticipated as companies stabilize and innovate [10][11]. - A combination of self-initiated production cuts and government policies aims to reduce capacity and enhance competitiveness [12][14]. Future Outlook - Despite current challenges, the PV industry is expected to rebound as the market corrects itself. The International Renewable Energy Agency projects that global PV installations will need to reach 18,200 GW by 2050 to meet carbon neutrality goals [14].