参议院选举压顶，日本对美关税谈判“寸让难行”？

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. has announced an increase in tariffs on imports from 14 countries, with Japan being the first affected, leading to a stalemate in U.S.-Japan tariff negotiations [1][2]. Group 1: Tariff Negotiations - Japan has been actively negotiating with the U.S. since April, but despite seven rounds of talks, no substantial progress has been made [2][3]. - The main reason for the deadlock is the significant gap in demands between Japan and the U.S., with Japan seeking the removal of "reciprocal tariffs" and linking them to discussions on auto tariffs and steel/aluminum tariffs [2][3]. - The U.S. has rejected Japan's requests and pressured Japan to increase imports of U.S. cars and rice while reducing the trade deficit [2][3]. Group 2: Negotiation Dynamics - The complexity of the U.S. negotiation team, which includes multiple representatives from different departments, has contributed to the slow progress of talks, making it difficult for Japan to identify a clear point of contact [3][4]. - Japan has maintained a firm stance on auto tariffs, which are crucial to its economy, and has not used them as bargaining chips in negotiations [4][5]. Group 3: Political Context - The upcoming Japanese Senate elections on July 20 are influencing the government's approach, as Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba's administration faces low approval ratings and potential loss of seats [5][6]. - Public sentiment in Japan has shifted against the U.S., with a majority of citizens supporting a firm stance rather than rushing to reach an agreement [6][7]. Group 4: Future Implications - The outcome of the Senate elections will directly impact the future of U.S.-Japan tariff negotiations, with a potential acceleration of talks if the ruling coalition retains a majority [6][7]. - The final agreement is expected to reflect the unequal nature of the U.S.-Japan alliance, suggesting that the terms will not be equitable [7].