特朗普法案割裂美国能源未来，AI驱动的电力需求难获支撑

Core Insights - The U.S. is facing unprecedented electricity demand challenges driven by the AI revolution and industrial electrification, with electricity demand projected to increase by 50% by 2050, equivalent to the consumption of 180 million new households [1][2] - The Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 has spurred a $33 billion investment boom in clean technology, with solar energy expected to account for over 50% of new utility-scale generation capacity by 2025 [1] - The recently signed "Great American Outdoors Act" is set to terminate most clean energy subsidies, particularly impacting the solar industry, and will impose localization restrictions on battery components, which could exclude Chinese suppliers [2] Industry Trends - The "new electrification" matrix, comprising AI data centers, autonomous driving networks, and smart factories, is consuming electricity at an annual rate of 2% [1] - The OpenAI "Star Gate" project exemplifies this trend, with its data center cluster consuming as much electricity as 8 million American households [1] - The Princeton University REPEAT project model indicates that if policy shifts continue, the U.S. could lose 820 terawatt-hours of new generation capacity by 2035, equating to the total annual output of all nuclear power plants [2] Investment Implications - The clean energy investment landscape is being reshaped by both technological advancements and policy incentives, with solar and wind energy becoming increasingly cost-competitive [1] - However, the rising costs of natural gas and the long construction timelines for nuclear energy present significant challenges for meeting future energy demands [2] - The potential for $50 billion in excess electricity costs for consumers and businesses highlights the economic impact of policy uncertainty and supply chain constraints [2]