SKYT Gross Margin Rises on Wafer Services Rebound: Is it Sustainable?

Core Insights - SkyWater Technology (SKYT) achieved a significant turnaround in profitability in Q1 2025, with non-GAAP gross profit increasing to $14.8 million from $13.4 million, resulting in a gross margin of 24.2%, a 730-basis-point improvement year over year [2][10] - The launch of ThermaView in January 2025 has driven a 70% sequential increase in Wafer Services revenues, reaching $7.5 million, indicating a shift in SkyWater's product mix towards new offerings [3][10] - Management anticipates continued growth in Wafer Services throughout 2025, supported by customer ramps and a growing innovation pipeline, alongside the recent acquisition of Fab 25 to expand manufacturing capacity [4][10] Financial Performance - SkyWater expects both GAAP and non-GAAP gross margins to remain in the 23%-27% range for the full year 2025, with potential for further upside due to improved cost control and a more disciplined tools mix [5][10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 revenues is projected at $307.15 million, reflecting a 10.26% decline from 2024, while the estimated loss is pegged at 1 cent per share, indicating a sharp decline of 116.67% year-over-year [12] Competitive Landscape - GlobalFoundries (GFS) reported $1.6 billion in Q1 2025, significantly outpacing SkyWater, with strengths in strategic partnerships and AI-related semiconductor manufacturing [6] - ON Semiconductor (ON) focuses on intelligent power and sensing solutions, leveraging a vertically integrated model that provides cost advantages, particularly in the growing EV market [7] Share Price and Valuation - SkyWater shares have declined 23.3% year to date, contrasting with a 7% return in the broader Zacks Computer and Technology sector and a 13.4% rise in the Electronics – Semiconductors industry [8] - Currently, SkyWater is trading at a forward 12-month Price/Sales ratio of 1.48X compared to the industry's 8.6X, with a Value Score of B [11]