美联储会议纪要：关税上调预计将推高今年的通胀

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve's June meeting minutes indicate that tariff increases are expected to raise inflation this year and provide a slight boost to inflation in 2026, with a projected inflation rate of 2% by 2027 [1] Group 1: Inflation Expectations - The Federal Reserve staff noted that the upward adjustment of tariffs is anticipated to elevate inflation levels for the current year [1] - There is an expectation that inflation may rise more persistently than previously assumed in baseline forecasts [1] - The inflation rate is projected to decrease to 2% by 2027 [1] Group 2: Economic Uncertainty - There is an increasing uncertainty surrounding the economic outlook, primarily due to changes in trade, fiscal, immigration, and regulatory policies [1] - The risks surrounding inflation forecasts are skewed to the upside, reflecting concerns about the durability of inflation increases [1]