美联储7月维持利率不变的概率为93.3%

Group 1 - The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged in July is 93.3% [1] - The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in July is 6.7% [1] - In September, the probability of maintaining rates is 31.1%, while the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut is 64.4% and a 50 basis point cut is 4.5% [1] Group 2 - For the interest rate forecast on July 31, 2025, the probability of rates being between 4.00%-4.25% is 6.7% [3] - On September 18, 2025, the probability of rates being between 4.00%-4.25% increases to 64.4% [3] - By October 30, 2025, the probability of rates being between 3.75%-4.00% is 44.8% [3]