Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang·2025-07-10 03:31Core Viewpoint - The recent trend in the photovoltaic industry indicates a recovery in silicon material prices, driven by industry self-discipline and favorable policies [1][2][4] Group 1: Silicon Material Price Trends - The latest data from the China Nonferrous Metals Industry Association's Silicon Industry Branch shows that silicon material prices have continued to rise, with multi-crystalline silicon N-type raw materials and N-type granular silicon prices increasing by 6.92% and 6.27% respectively [1] - Multi-crystalline silicon prices have been significantly adjusted, with a price increase of 25% to 35%, bringing the price range to 45,000 to 50,000 yuan per ton [1] - The mainstream price for N-type dense materials has reached 39 yuan per kilogram, reflecting a 14.71% increase from the previous week [1] Group 2: Market Dynamics and Sentiment - The photovoltaic sector has seen a positive market response, with several companies' stock prices reaching new highs following a recent industry meeting that addressed low-price competition [2] - Analysts express optimism regarding policy-driven structural optimization and market environment improvements within the industry [2] - Although new orders are limited, the execution of previously signed orders has strengthened, indicating a stabilization in the silicon material market [2][3] Group 3: Supply and Demand Conditions - The supply-demand situation for silicon materials has shown signs of improvement, with June's domestic multi-crystalline silicon production at approximately 102,000 tons, matching demand without new inventory accumulation [3] - The total domestic production for the first half of the year was about 596,000 tons, a significant year-on-year decrease of 44.1% [3] - The forecast for global multi-crystalline silicon demand in 2025 is around 1.4 million tons, with domestic demand expected to be approximately 1.3 million tons [3] Group 4: Industry Outlook - The current policies are focused on market regulation and resource concentration, which may lead to the faster elimination of high-cost production capacities [3] - The industry is expected to undergo a structural transformation towards refined management, with a significant improvement in supply-demand dynamics anticipated post-2026 [3] - The ongoing "anti-involution" movement serves as a test of comprehensive cost strength among companies, with those facing long-term inventory accumulation and cash flow issues at risk of production halts [3][4]