Core Viewpoint - The report from CICC indicates that the current valuation of Uni-President China (00220) is at 17/15 times the earnings per share for 2025/2026, with a target price raised by 9.5% to HKD 11.5, reflecting a 20% upside potential [1] Group 1: Revenue and Profit Forecast - CICC maintains its profit forecast for 2025/2026 at CNY 2.22 billion and CNY 2.54 billion respectively, with expectations of an 8.5% year-on-year revenue growth in the first half of 2025 and a 25% increase in net profit to CNY 1.2 billion, aligning with market expectations [1] - The company is expected to see mid-to-high single-digit revenue growth in its beverage segment in the first half of 2025, despite increased competition, particularly in the iced tea category [2] Group 2: Cost and Profit Margin Analysis - The gross margin for the company improved by 0.5 percentage points year-on-year in the first quarter of 2025, driven by lower prices for PET and sugar, as well as increased operational efficiency, with expectations for continued improvement in the second quarter [3] - The sales expense ratio decreased by over 0.5 percentage points year-on-year in the first quarter of 2025 due to more precise promotional spending, with expectations for a slight decline in overall expense ratio in the first half of 2025, leading to a nearly 1 percentage point increase in net profit margin [3] Group 3: Future Growth and Profitability - The company is expected to maintain its revenue growth momentum in the second half of 2025, supported by strong performance from new products and effective promotional strategies [4] - The gross margin is anticipated to continue its upward trend in the second half of 2025, with a focus on improving product mix and operational efficiency, leading to sustained profit margin improvements throughout the year [4]
中金：维持统一企业中国(00220)“跑赢行业”评级 上调目标价至11.5港元