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东海证券:零碳转型开启新章 关注风储领域破局机遇
智通财经网·2025-07-10 06:18

Group 1 - The core driving forces for the energy storage industry are the pressure of renewable energy consumption (external factor) and the improvement of profitability (internal factor), with policy catalysts accelerating demand realization [1] - Global energy storage installations are projected to grow from 18.3 GW in 2021 to 82.8 GW by 2024, representing a CAGR of approximately 65.4%, with new energy storage installations expected to grow at a CAGR of 93.0% during the same period [1] - The cumulative installed capacity of new energy storage is expected to increase from 12.2% in 2021 to 44.5% in 2024, indicating a significant shift in the market dynamics [1] Group 2 - The global energy transition is driving the demand for energy storage, which can provide peak shaving and frequency regulation services, thus replacing traditional transmission facilities [2] - The rapid growth of variable renewable energy (VRE) installations, with solar and wind expected to add 452 GW and 115 GW respectively in 2024, is exacerbating the challenges of energy consumption and grid stability [2] - As VRE penetration exceeds 15%, the costs associated with integrating wind and solar energy into the grid will begin to rise, with significant implications for energy storage needs [2] Group 3 - In China, the relaxation of the "95% consumption red line" and the introduction of midday valley pricing have led to a decline in the utilization rates of wind and solar energy, dropping below 95% [3] - By the end of Q1 2025, the utilization rates for solar and wind energy in China are projected to be 93.8% and 93.4% respectively, reflecting a decline from the end of 2024 [3] - The recent policy changes, including the cancellation of mandatory energy storage requirements for new renewable projects, are likely to further intensify the consumption pressure on wind and solar energy in the short term [3]