黄金时间·每日论金：金价震荡运行 市场方向尚不明朗

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that the international spot gold price has been fluctuating, initially declining and then rising, influenced by the Federal Reserve's differing views on interest rate outlook due to tariff impacts on inflation [1] - The Federal Reserve's June meeting minutes reveal that only a "minority" of officials support a rate cut this month, while most are concerned about inflationary pressures from Trump's tariff policies [1] - The updated dot plot from the meeting shows that out of 19 officials, 10 expect at least two rate cuts by the end of the year, while 7 predict no cuts until 2025, and 2 anticipate one cut [1] Group 2 - Technically, the market response has been muted, with gold prices hovering around the critical level of $3316 per ounce, indicating unclear market direction [2] - The short-term K-line structure suggests that gold prices have broken below the 21-day short-term moving average, indicating potential entry into a bearish model, but further confirmation is needed [2] - Resistance levels for gold prices are noted at $3385 per ounce, with a breakthrough potentially adjusting resistance to $3434 per ounce, while support is at $3266 per ounce, with a breakdown adjusting support to $3198 per ounce [2]