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交通运输行业净零排放存在挑战,推动可持续低碳燃料应用具有迫切性
Zhong Guo Neng Yuan Wang·2025-07-10 09:09

Core Viewpoint - The transportation sector is a significant contributor to global energy consumption and carbon emissions, with challenges in achieving net-zero emissions and the urgent need for sustainable low-carbon fuel applications [1][2] Group 1: Industry Overview - In 2024, global CO2 emissions related to energy are projected to reach 37.8 billion tons, with the transportation sector accounting for approximately 24% of this total [1] - China's transportation carbon emissions are estimated at around 1 billion tons, making it the third-largest source after power and industry [2] Group 2: Sustainable Low-Carbon Fuel Development - The sustainable low-carbon fuel industry in China is at a critical juncture, with significant potential for growth, particularly in aviation and shipping sectors [2] - China is the world's largest producer of methanol and ammonia, with a well-established supporting industry, and has planned capacities for biomass methanol, electro-methanol, and green ammonia [2] Group 3: Challenges and Bottlenecks - The industry faces multiple challenges, including a mismatch between planned production capacity and actual output, particularly in green methanol [4] - There are systemic gaps in the industry chain, from policy design to technology implementation, which hinder the effective deployment of sustainable fuels [4][5] Group 4: Market Demand and Future Projections - The demand for sustainable fuels is expected to rise due to international emission reduction rules and domestic policies, driving high-quality transformation in the equipment manufacturing sector [3] - By 2030, China's SAF demand is projected to reach between 3 million tons and 8.6 million tons, indicating a long-term trend of supply shortages [6] Group 5: Technological Innovations and Industry Standards - Recent technological advancements include the delivery of China's first methanol dual-fuel container ship, which significantly reduces carbon emissions [7] - The establishment of a sustainable fuel certification system is crucial for ensuring product quality and enhancing market competitiveness [7]