longda(SH:688231) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-07-10 10:30Core Viewpoint - The company focuses on high-temperature alloys for aerospace engines and gas turbines, with significant growth in international expansion and revenue from key sectors like aerospace and gas turbines [1][2]. Group 1: Business Overview - The company's high-temperature alloy business includes both cast and deformed alloys, with applications across various industries such as aerospace, gas turbines, energy, oil and gas, shipping, and automotive [1]. - The aerospace and gas turbine sectors are identified as primary growth drivers, with projected revenue growth of 14.89% and 47.48% year-on-year for 2024, respectively [1]. Group 2: International Expansion - The company's international strategy has shown significant results, with overseas revenue reaching 262 million yuan in 2024, marking a substantial increase of 128.69% year-on-year [1]. - Collaborations have been established with major global players such as Rolls-Royce, Safran, Honeywell, Collins Aerospace, and Baker Hughes, which are expected to support ongoing customer acquisition and growth [1]. Group 3: Investment Logic - The global civil aviation and gas turbine markets are currently in a supply-demand imbalance, providing opportunities for domestic companies to leverage their production capacity and delivery advantages [2]. - The aging fleet of civil aircraft and gas turbines is driving demand for maintenance, particularly for high-temperature alloy components used in engine hot-end parts [2]. - The company is expected to see a rapid increase in overseas market share due to its competitive advantages in delivery times and pricing, supported by long-term agreements that stabilize supplier relationships [2]. - International business is projected to generate 300 million yuan in revenue in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 70% [2]. - The domestic production of aircraft engines is anticipated to provide mid-term growth opportunities, particularly in specialized fields and maintenance needs [2]. Group 4: Financial Projections - Earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for the company are projected at 0.49, 0.75, and 1.05 yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, respectively [2]. - Based on the company's position, growth potential, and comparable company valuations, a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 45 is suggested for 2025, leading to a target price of 22.20 yuan per share, with a recommendation to "buy" [2].