The GEO (US:GEO) ZACKS·2025-07-10 14:57Core Viewpoint - Geo Group (GEO) shares have shown a 0.8% increase over the past four weeks, closing at $26.33, with analysts suggesting a potential upside of 58.8% based on a mean price target of $41.8 [1] Price Targets and Analyst Consensus - The average price target for GEO is derived from five short-term estimates, ranging from a low of $35.00 to a high of $50.00, with a standard deviation of $6.42, indicating a potential increase of 32.9% to 89.9% from the current price [2] - A low standard deviation suggests a strong agreement among analysts regarding the price movement of GEO, which can serve as a starting point for further research [9] Earnings Estimates and Market Sentiment - Analysts have shown strong agreement in revising earnings per share (EPS) estimates higher for GEO, which correlates with potential stock price increases [11] - Over the past 30 days, one estimate has increased, leading to a 3.4% rise in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current year [12] - GEO holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), placing it in the top 5% of over 4,000 ranked stocks based on earnings estimate factors, indicating strong potential for upside [13] Caution on Price Targets - While price targets are often sought after, they can mislead investors, as empirical research shows they rarely indicate actual stock price movements [7] - Analysts may set overly optimistic price targets due to business incentives, which can inflate expectations [8] - Investors should approach price targets with skepticism and not rely solely on them for investment decisions [10]