摩根大通CEO戴蒙指出,与市场普遍预期相反,我认为美联储未来加息的可能性比市场预期的要高,如果市场的定价反映的是20%的可能性,那我估的概率是40%到50%。
news flash·2025-07-10 18:39
Core Viewpoint - JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon believes that the likelihood of future interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve is higher than the market's general expectation, estimating a probability of 40% to 50% compared to the market's 20% [1] Summary by Relevant Categories - Interest Rate Outlook - Dimon suggests that the market may be underestimating the potential for rate increases by the Federal Reserve, indicating a significant divergence from current market pricing [1] - Market Expectations - The current market pricing reflects only a 20% chance of rate hikes, which Dimon argues is too low based on his assessment [1]